- Many farm decisions involve time.
- A farmer has to decide whether to purchase new farm machinery with 10 years of life or a second hand one which may have only five years of life.
- Several other decisions involving time and initial capital investment could be judiciously taken by compounding or discounting.
a) Future value of a present sum:
- The future value of money refers to the value of an investment at a specified date in the future.
- This concept assumes that investment will earn interest which is reinvested at the end of each time period to also earn interest.
- The procedure for determining the future value of present sum is called compounding.
- The formula to find the future value of present sum in given below
FV = P (1 + i)n
where,
FV = Future value;
P = the present sum,
i = the interest rate,
n = the number of years.
Example:
Assume you have invested Rs. 100 in a savings account which earns 8% interest compounded annually and would like to know the future value of this investment after 3 years.
Year |
Value at beginning of year (Rs.) |
Rate of interest |
Interest earned (Rs.) |
Value at the end of the year (Rs.) |
1 |
100 |
8% |
8 |
108 |
2 |
108 |
8% |
8.64 |
116.64 |
3 |
116.64 |
8% |
9.33 |
125.97 |
- In the example, a present sum of Rs. 100 has a future value of Rs. 125.97 when invested at 8 per cent interest for 3 years.
- Interest is compounded when accumulated interest also earns future interest.
b) Present value of future sum:
- Present value of future sum refers to the current value of sum of money to be received in the future.
- The procedure to find the present value of future sum is called discounting.
- The equation for finding the present value of future sum is
PV = FV/ (1+ i)n
where,
PV = Present value
FV = Future sum
i = rate of interest
n = number of years.
Examples
Example: A farmer wants to purchase a tractor. The alternatives are,
- Purchase a new tractor for Rs. 25000/- that will last 10 years.
- Purchase an old tractor for Rs. 15000/- and replace it after 5 years with another old tractor worth Rs. 15000/-. This means that he shall have to invest Rs. 15000/- now and lay aside an amount which will become Rs. 15000/- within 5 years to replace the old tractor.
A) Farmer with unlimited capital has the opportunity of lending the money at usual interest rate, say 5%.
PV= 15000/(1+0.05)5 = Rs. 11,760
His comparison is Rs. 25000/- for new tractor and Rs. 15000/- plus Rs.11,760/- (Rs. 26760/-) for old tractor. The new tractor is profitable for the farmer with unlimited capital.
B) Farmer with limited capital has an opportunity of investing money in poultry and can make a return of 15 % within the year. His discounting rate will be 15% i.e., opportunity cost of not using money in bank and investing in poultry.
PV= 15000/(1+0.15)5
= Rs. 7,455
His comparison is Rs. 25000/- for new tractor and Rs. 15000/- plus Rs. 7455/- (Rs. 22455/-) for old tractor. The old tractor is profitable for farmer with limited capital.